Coronavirus Super Thread ( merged )

[ri Alban]

2 hours ago, redjambo said:

The latest trend data. Cases looking stable and slowly declining. There was a significant drop today in numbers of folk with Covid in hospital. Also a rise in the number of first vaccinations which could indicate the beginning of vaccination of a new cohort.

 

		7-day per-100,000 cases
Council Area	Tier	Today	Yesterday			25 Apr	24 Apr	23 Apr	22 Apr	21 Apr	...	1 Apr
Scotland		25	26	-1		28	28	29	28	28	...	59
North Lanarkshire	3	54	57	-3		N/A	64	64	59	58	...	117
East Ayrshire	3	43	44	-1		N/A	48	55	50	42	...	72
Electric Braeland	3	42	43	-1		N/A	42	40	33	21	...	19
Moray	3	41	47	-6		N/A	45	43	44	34	...	56
East Dunbartonshire	3	40	40	0		N/A	41	42	33	34	...	56
Clackmannanshire	3	37	39	-2		N/A	52	70	68	72	...	233
Glasgow City	3	37	37	0		N/A	40	42	46	49	...	81
Fife	3	34	33	+1		N/A	30	28	25	24	...	42
West Dunbartonshire	3	34	33	+1		N/A	27	28	21	18	...	66
Perth & Kinross	3	31	34	-3		N/A	39	35	32	36	...	36
Edinburgh City	3	26	29	-3		N/A	30	29	26	24	...	50
Falkirk	3	25	26	-1		N/A	27	27	30	32	...	90
Dundee City	3	23	26	-3		N/A	28	24	21	23	...	64
Renfrewshire	3	23	25	-2		N/A	23	24	21	23	...	103
South Lanarkshire	3	23	24	-1		N/A	34	41	44	44	...	62
East Renfrewshire	3	22	18	+4		N/A	28	29	31	29	...	45
Dumfries & Galloway	3	19	17	+2		N/A	15	9	5	3	...	5
North Ayrshire	3	18	21	-3		N/A	24	25	28	28	...	71
West Lothian	3	18	17	+1		N/A	23	21	21	24	...	129
Aberdeen City	3	15	16	-1		N/A	21	22	22	24	...	44
Inverclyde	3	14	12	+2		N/A	13	14	13	17	...	21
Stirling	3	13	13	0		N/A	15	12	12	12	...	58
East Lothian	3	12	13	-1		N/A	10	9	7	6	...	37
Aberdeenshire	3	8	8	0		N/A	12	15	16	17	...	28
Highland	3	8	8	0		N/A	8	9	8	13	...	7
Argyll & Bute	3	6	6	0		N/A	5	5	5	5	...	7
Orkney Islands	3	4	9	-5		N/A	9	4	0	0	...	0
Angus	3	3	3	0		N/A	6	9	11	11	...	42
Midlothian	3	3	3	0		N/A	4	4	4	5	...	57
Scottish Borders	3	1	1	0		N/A	1	1	1	2	...	11
Na h-Eileanan Siar	3	0	0	0		N/A	0	0	0	0	...	0
Shetland Islands	3	0	0	0		N/A	0	0	0	0	...	9
7-day averages		Today	Yesterday			25 Apr	24 Apr	23 Apr	22 Apr	21 Apr	...	1 Apr
Tests		18213	18132	+81		18251	18060	18195	17960	18000	...	21722
Positivity rate %		1.3	1.3	0.0		1.4	1.4	1.4	1.4	1.4	...	2.4
Deaths		1.6	1.7	-0.1		1.7	1.6	1.3	1.6	1.3	...	5.4
All Vaccinations		48219	48238	-19		47271	44098	42395	40392	38691	...	49063
1st Dose		4587	3725	+862		3847	4460	5185	6641	8229	...	29659
2nd Dose		43632	44513	-881		43424	39638	37210	33751	30462	...	19404
Daily data
Hospital (non-ICU)		70	81	-11		N/A	N/A	81	81	93	...	194
ICU		11	12	-1		N/A	N/A	12	12	14	...	21

 

 

Oh dear Edinburgh is now above Renfrewshire. Hopefully we don't get kept in tier 3 longer. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[XB52]

21 minutes ago, JamesM48 said:

Resulting to insults tends to mean you have lost an argument ! Angry much ? 

Just sad that there are actually people that manage to feed themselves while believing in total batshit mental conspiracy theories. But happy that I don't know any of them

[ri Alban]

8 hours ago, Governor Tarkin said:

 

I quite liked him at first tbh, but the longer the pandemic went on and the more depressed and pissed off I got with the whole thing, the more I wanted to mount the coffee table and boot his head off through the telly. Nobody likes the bearer of consistently bad tidings eh. For the above see also Sturgeon, that Devi lassie, other assorted experts, and around 90% of folk on this thread. 

Cheaper turning the telly  off/over, bud. 

[The Real Maroonblood]

4 minutes ago, ri Alban said:

Oh dear Edinburgh is now above Renfrewshire. Hopefully we don't get kept in tier 3 longer. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

No problem as at least the beer gardens will be okay.

🍺

[ri Alban]

The roads are choc a block. 

[ri Alban]

Just now, The Real Maroonblood said:

No problem as at least the beer gardens will be okay.

🍺

Supposed to go for a mixed grill on Thursday down the brewer's fare. Might go for a carvery instead. I'll take ma own parasol, incase it rains.

[JudyJudyJudy]

16 minutes ago, Footballfirst said:

There was a bit of a blip in the "Calders" neighborhood, although that seems to have subsided in the last couple of days. 

 

I only use the the figures from 3 days ago as they are based on specimen dates and the last couple of days have incomplete data.  Edinburgh's case rate should fall over the next three days, probably back below 20. 

It’s fallen below 20 so you’ll be hard pressed to find any in most regions of Lothian 

[The Real Maroonblood]

1 minute ago, ri Alban said:

Supposed to go for a mixed grill on Thursday down the brewer's fare. Might go for a carvery instead. I'll take ma own parasol, incase it rains.

Is that in Glasgow?

 

[ri Alban]

1 minute ago, The Real Maroonblood said:

Is that in Glasgow?

 

The Phoenix, linwood. 

Edited April 27, 2021 by ri Alban

[JudyJudyJudy]

9 minutes ago, XB52 said:

 

rather harsh and cruel comment 

[The Real Maroonblood]

1 minute ago, ri Alban said:

The Phoenix, linwood. 

Hopefully the weather is decent.

Edinburgh supposed to be fair but as you know that can change.

[ri Alban]

Just now, The Real Maroonblood said:

Hopefully the weather is decent.

Edinburgh supposed to be fair but as you know that can change.

Typical Scotland, starts raining when we leave the house for a beer or 10.

 

 

Fecking SNP

 

 

Are you hitting the boozer all week, Bud? 

[The Real Maroonblood]

Just now, ri Alban said:

Typical Scotland, starts raining when we leave the house for a beer or 10.

 

 

Fecking SNP

 

 

Are you hitting the boozer all week, Bud? 

No.

I value my marriage too much.😏

Having said that I give her peace when I’m out.

Probably Thursday the next time.

[Footballfirst]

24 minutes ago, JamesM48 said:

It’s fallen below 20 so you’ll be hard pressed to find any in most regions of Lothian 

The 7 day / 100k measure used by the SG, WHO, @redjambo and myself, to determine levels, hasn't dropped below 20.

 

The official PHS published rate for Edinburgh is 27.2 (to 24 April).  The reduction in cases reported over the last three days suggest that figure will drop in coming days as the oldest days' data drops out the rolling 7 day figure.

 

Edit: The quoted figure comes from a calculation of the total number of positive cases recorded over a 7 day period divided by the number of 100,000s in an area's population.

In this case, Edinburgh has reported 143 cases over the 7 day period (to 24 April).  The  population estimate for Edinburgh that is used is 524,930, so the 100k factor is 5.25.  Divide 143 by 5.25 and you get 27.2.

Edited April 27, 2021 by Footballfirst

[Governor Tarkin]

20 minutes ago, ri Alban said:

The Phoenix, linwood. 

 

It's a shithole, mate.

[redjambo]

1 hour ago, DETTY29 said:

West Lothian has got its act together pretty quickly.

 

CEC was below 20 for a short while. 

 

Is there a reason, any hot spots?

 

There don't appear to be any major hotspots as such, imo, although The Calders (as FF mentioned) and Niddrie have had elevated levels. If you go to https://www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/local , scroll down to the Cases by Intermediate Zone table, type Edinburgh into the box at the top LHS, and then click on Per 100k Pop heading, then you will see the local areas with the greatest per-capita case rates (the first bit of which I've pasted below):

 

 

[redjambo]

4 minutes ago, Governor Tarkin said:

 

It's a shithole, mate.

 

I've heard it has got a little bit better now though since they started asking patrons to check in their weapons at the door.

Edited April 27, 2021 by redjambo

[Jambo-Jimbo]

26 minutes ago, XB52 said:

Just sad that there are actually people that manage to feed themselves while believing in total batshit mental conspiracy theories. But happy that I don't know any of them

 

Which, of course you can read all about that Covid is a hoax in his new book.

And that's the gist of the article, to promote his new book in the hope that the gullible buy it.

 

[Jambo-Jimbo]

1 minute ago, redjambo said:

 

I've heard it has got a little bit better now though since they started asking patrons to check in their weapons at the door.

 

Still got the sawdust on the floors and the spitoons at the bar, though.

[ri Alban]

18 minutes ago, The Real Maroonblood said:

No.

I value my marriage too much.😏

Having said that I give her peace when I’m out.

Probably Thursday the next time.

Yip. Got to keep the Boss, happy. 👍

 

 

 

Thursday

[JudyJudyJudy]

33 minutes ago, ri Alban said:

Supposed to go for a mixed grill on Thursday down the brewer's fare. Might go for a carvery instead. I'll take ma own parasol, incase it rains.

A parasol in the west ? i tried that in Glasgow one time and it didnt end well  

[JudyJudyJudy]

20 minutes ago, Footballfirst said:

The 7 day / 100k measure used by the SG, WHO, @redjambo and myself, to determine levels, hasn't dropped below 20.

 

The official PHS published rate for Edinburgh is 27.2 (to 24 April).  The reduction in cases reported over the last three days suggest that figure will drop in coming days as the oldest days' data drops out the rolling 7 day figure.

 

Edit: The quoted figure comes from a calculation of the total number of positive cases recorded over a 7 day period divided by the number of 100,000s in an area's population.

In this case, Edinburgh has reported 143 cases over the 7 day period (to 24 April).  The  population estimate for Edinburgh that is used is 524,930, so the 100k factor is 5.25.  Divide 143 by 5.25 and you get 27.2.

I like other appreciate you and redjambo stats and informative postings but i saw this today 

 

https://www.edinburghlive.co.uk/news/edinburgh-news/covid-scotland-update-nhs-lothian-20477121

[Footballfirst]

11 minutes ago, redjambo said:

 

There don't appear to be any major hotspots as such, imo, although The Calders (as FF mentioned) and Niddrie have had elevated levels. If you go to https://www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/local , scroll down to the Cases by Intermediate Zone table, type Edinburgh into the box at the top LHS, and then click on Per 100k Pop heading, then you will see the local areas with the greatest per-capita case rates (the first bit of which I've pasted below):

 

 

The 6 cases that Travelling Tabby recorded for the Calders yesterday, is half of what it was three days earlier. It has gone up by 1 to 7 in today's figures.  The localised 7 day /100k rate has fallen from 256 on 20 Apr to 149 on 24 Apr.

Edited April 27, 2021 by Footballfirst

[redjambo]

Just now, JamesM48 said:

I like other appreciate you and redjambo stats and informative postings but i saw this today 

 

https://www.edinburghlive.co.uk/news/edinburgh-news/covid-scotland-update-nhs-lothian-20477121

 

Yup. Great news as it is, that's raw daily cases though, not the 7-day per-capita rates that we were talking about. Also, the original question was about hotspots in the City of Edinburgh, not the Lothians in general. So, apples and pears.

 

[JudyJudyJudy]

6 minutes ago, Jambo-Jimbo said:

 

Still got the sawdust on the floors and the spitoons at the bar, though.

OH tell me about it. I was in " Dows " bar after a Hearts / Rangers match one time in Glasgow . Now that was rough. There was a old suited man singing Frank Sinatras " Thats life" I felt i had to applaud at the end or would have got a dooin.  He had tats on his hands saying " ACOB" and the like 

Edited April 27, 2021 by JamesM48

[JudyJudyJudy]

1 minute ago, redjambo said:

 

Yup. Great news as it is, that's raw daily cases though, not the 7-day per-capita rates that we were talking about. Also, the original question was about hotspots in the City of Edinburgh, not the Lothians in general. So, apples and pears.

 

Ok my error. 

[redjambo]

1 minute ago, Footballfirst said:

The 6 cases that Travelling Tabby recorded for the Calders yesterday, is half of what it was three days earlier. It has gone up by 1 to 7 in today's figures.  The localised 7 day /100k rate has fallen from 256 on 20 Apr to 149 on 24 Apr.

 

Nice one. That's what we like to see. Rapid detection and limiting of any local outbreaks (if I'm understanding your data correctly).

[ri Alban]

6 minutes ago, JamesM48 said:

A parasol in the west ? i tried that in Glasgow one time and it didnt end well  

[redjambo]

3 minutes ago, JamesM48 said:

Ok my error. 

 

Hakuna matata.

[JudyJudyJudy]

5 minutes ago, redjambo said:

 

Nice one. That's what we like to see. Rapid detection and limiting of any local outbreaks (if I'm understanding your data correctly).

Yep i have always felt that rapid track and tracing is the key . despite all my other moans and groans. 

[ri Alban]

16 minutes ago, redjambo said:

 

I've heard it has got a little bit better now though since they started asking patrons to check in their weapons at the door.

[JudyJudyJudy]

4 minutes ago, redjambo said:

 

Hakuna matata.

👍

[The Real Maroonblood]

5 minutes ago, ri Alban said:

[JudyJudyJudy]

6 minutes ago, ri Alban said:

 

[Tazio]

You. Ignition be allowed out but the chance of entertainment remains slim. 
https://www.scotsman.com/whats-on/arts-and-entertainment/two-metre-social-distancing-imposed-on-scottish-theatres-concert-halls-and-comedy-clubs-3215835?fbclid=IwAR1lLyMyPAxVxGaKsPydgH7nu7G6Kao0QoKOqD5zygw3XRcm_lilsTYnE64

[JudyJudyJudy]

Im off out for a meal now. First time in a pub since November last year.  No booze though. Its sod law as per usual with Scotland ! the bloody weather. 

[highlandjambo3]

1 hour ago, XB52 said:

I see we have another flat earther on the board today. Honestly wonder how they manage to dress themselves, but I suppose the attendants do it for them 

 

[redjambo]

Miami school bars vaccinated teachers from seeing students

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-56905752

Includes the following: '...saying three women in the school's community had their menstrual cycles "impacted after having spent time with a vaccinated person".'

 

The struggle isn't just against Covid.

Edited April 27, 2021 by redjambo

[redjambo]

2 minutes ago, JamesM48 said:

Im off out for a meal now. First time in a pub since November last year.  No booze though. Its sod law as per usual with Scotland ! the bloody weather. 

 

Have a good one, James!

[Taffin]

Anyone taken up the twice weekly testing on offer?

[Footballfirst]

The reason that we can be reasonably confident that Edinburgh's rate will fall is that the 7 day / 100k rate of 27.2 comes from daily figures of 24, 21, 30, 21, 22, 12 and 13 (for a total of 143).  The rolling 7 day total needs to drop below 105 to get the 7 day rate below 20.   If the 24, 21 and 30 drop off and are replaced by a trend of 13, 12, 11 over the next three days, then the 7 day total will drop to 104, which would take the city's 7 day/100k average marginally below 20.

Edited April 27, 2021 by Footballfirst

[highlandjambo3]

59 minutes ago, ri Alban said:

Supposed to go for a mixed grill on Thursday down the brewer's fare. Might go for a carvery instead. I'll take ma own parasol, incase it rains.

Let’s cheer this place up a bit.......post a picture of your first meal out with a rating of 1 - 10 👍

[highlandjambo3]

31 minutes ago, Jambo-Jimbo said:

 

Which, of course you can read all about that Covid is a hoax in his new book.

And that's the gist of the article, to promote his new book in the hope that the gullible buy it.

 

And they will in there droves 

[JudyJudyJudy]

10 minutes ago, redjambo said:

 

Have a good one, James!

Cheers Red 👍

[Nucky Thompson]

14 minutes ago, Tazio said:

You. Ignition be allowed out but the chance of entertainment remains slim. 
https://www.scotsman.com/whats-on/arts-and-entertainment/two-metre-social-distancing-imposed-on-scottish-theatres-concert-halls-and-comedy-clubs-3215835?fbclid=IwAR1lLyMyPAxVxGaKsPydgH7nu7G6Kao0QoKOqD5zygw3XRcm_lilsTYnE64

That's grim reading 

[Governor Tarkin]

1 hour ago, ri Alban said:

Might go for a carvery .

 

10 minutes ago, highlandjambo3 said:

Let’s cheer this place up a bit.......post a picture of your first meal out with a rating of 1 - 10 👍

 

Linwood special. 7/10

 

Edited April 27, 2021 by Governor Tarkin

[Gizmo]

4 hours ago, Konrad von Carstein said:

Boy seems like a crank...300,000 plus daily cases in India, the US is just beginning to get its act together...it's a pandemic

 

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vernon_Coleman

Christ, that old twat again, the ****ing aids denialist. No one should have any truck with this moron. 

The flu numbers are quite obviously down because of a combination of:

- viral interference
- lockdowns
- masks
- increased hygiene
- social distancing

Makes perfect sense, since the flu is less contagious than Covid-19. No doubt the "common sense" mob are going to claim the two viruses are interchangable, again. 🙄

[Fxxx the SPFL]

35 minutes ago, JamesM48 said:

OH tell me about it. I was in " Dows " bar after a Hearts / Rangers match one time in Glasgow . Now that was rough. There was a old suited man singing Frank Sinatras " Thats life" I felt i had to applaud at the end or would have got a dooin.  He had tats on his hands saying " ACOB" and the like 

me and the missus were in there after Killie match a few years back next to railway station was an old guy pished singing old songs, joined us a bit of a character but kept shaking my hand every two minutes barmaid eventually moved him to a seat on his own. She said that he's a regular but comes through from edinburgh strange guy but harmless

[The Real Maroonblood]

42 minutes ago, JamesM48 said:

Im off out for a meal now. First time in a pub since November last year.  No booze though. Its sod law as per usual with Scotland ! the bloody weather. 

Have a great time.

[Jambo-Jimbo]

45 minutes ago, highlandjambo3 said:

And they will in there droves 

 

What's that saying, a fool and their money.........