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Official Betfair Steady Drip Thread 2009 - Three Munney for All


Mr Romanov Saviour of HMFC

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Wish I'd known that this wasn't on til 8pm. Glad I only lumped ?15 on it.

 

?22.13 went on the Finnish game and that's up. Will stick the winnings from that on another when it comes in.

 

For those using betfair you often get greater returns laying 0.0 rather than the 1 or more goal market.

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Bet 23 - Italy U20s vs Hungary U20s. ?33.78 on 1 goal or more @ 1.08 returns ?36.48 (excluding commission)

Bet 24 - Finland vs Wales. ?36.34 on 1 goal or more @ 1.10 returns ?39.97 (excluding commission)

Bet 25 - Ukraine vs England. ?39.79 on 1 goal or more @ 1.09 returns ?43,37 (excluding commission)

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BoJack Horseman
For those using betfair you often get greater returns laying 0.0 rather than the 1 or more goal market.

 

I'm not entirely sure how to lay a bet on betfair or i'd look into that more.

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I'm not entirely sure how to lay a bet on betfair or i'd look into that more.

 

Would you just go into the correct score market and lay the 0-0 draw? The pink buttons. Surely that's not right, you can get 6.8 for the Ireland vs Italy game but it's only 1.16 to bet on 1 goal or more.

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Ukraine v England - ?24.23 on 1 goal or more @1.09 returns ?26.41

 

Waaaay 1-0 Ukraine! Was quite worried about this game too.

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BoJack Horseman
Would you just go into the correct score market and lay the 0-0 draw? The pink buttons. Surely that's not right, you can get 6.8 for the Ireland vs Italy game but it's only 1.16 to bet on 1 goal or more.

 

That's why I don't understand it. I know it definitely doesn't work like that. There's more to it.

 

Waaaay 1-0 Ukraine! Was quite worried about this game too.

 

Excellent.

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That's why I don't understand it. I know it definitely doesn't work like that. There's more to it.

 

 

 

Excellent.

 

Say you wanted to risk ?20 on this game.

 

If the price to lay 0-0 is 6.8 (pink button) then you would lay ?3.45 @ 6.8, giving a liability of ?20.01

 

If a goal was scored you would win ?3.45, if it was 0-0 you would lose ?20.01

 

If you put ?20.01 on 1+ @1.16 you would win ?3.20

 

So in this case you would win slightly more laying 0-0 than backing 1+

 

:smiley2:

 

Hope this helps

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BoJack Horseman
Say you wanted to risk ?20 on this game.

 

If the price to lay 0-0 is 6.8 (pink button) then you would lay ?3.45 @ 6.8, giving a liability of ?20.01

 

If a goal was scored you would win ?3.45, if it was 0-0 you would lose ?20.01

 

If you put ?20.01 on 1+ @1.16 you would win ?3.20

 

So in this case you would win slightly more laying 0-0 than backing 1+

 

:smiley2:

 

Hope this helps

 

Thanks for explaining that :).

 

Think i'll stick to 1+ betting though. It's a little bit easier.

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That's why I don't understand it. I know it definitely doesn't work like that. There's more to it.

 

 

 

Excellent.

 

Nah mate. Nothing complicated about laying. It's as it says on the tin.

 

When betting on more/less than x amount of goals on a market you should always have a look at which option offers the best return.

 

For example Ireland v Italy - over/under 2.5 goals market.

If you think there will be 3 goals or more you can either:

Back at 2.88 (the blue box) ?10 offering ?18.80 profit

or

Lay at 1.54 (the pink box) to win ?18.80 your liability would be ?10.15.

 

The prices have already changed since I typed that though.

 

Therefore, in this case the back option is slightly better odds. The difference will usually be minimal as in this example but it's worth looking into. There is the definite potential for higher discrepancies when it involves two different markets like the earlier poster mentioned with the correct score market and no. of goals.

 

Edit: Arfurdaley got there first - I was too busy watching You've Been Framed

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Bet 23 - Italy U20s vs Hungary U20s. ?33.78 on 1 goal or more @ 1.08 returns ?36.48 (excluding commission)

Bet 24 - Finland vs Wales. ?36.34 on 1 goal or more @ 1.10 returns ?39.97 (excluding commission)

Bet 25 - Ukraine vs England. ?39.79 on 1 goal or more @ 1.09 returns ?43,37 (excluding commission)

Bet 26 - Ireland vs Italy. ?43.19 on 1 goal or more @ 1.16 returns ?50.10 (excluding commission)

 

If this comes in then I'll have made it from around ?30 to almost ?50 in 4 bets!

 

I think this one could be a dodgy one though. Hopefully we get a goal within 10 minutes to calm the nerves. :2thumbsup:

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BoJack Horseman

I'll probably live to regret this...

 

Denmark v Sweden(HT) - ?26.30 on 1 or more goals @1.36 returns ?35.77

 

Also have ?15 on the Italy game @1.16.

 

 

And we're off...

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Bet 23 - Italy U20s vs Hungary U20s. ?33.78 on 1 goal or more @ 1.08 returns ?36.48 (excluding commission)

Bet 24 - Finland vs Wales. ?36.34 on 1 goal or more @ 1.10 returns ?39.97 (excluding commission)

Bet 25 - Ukraine vs England. ?39.79 on 1 goal or more @ 1.09 returns ?43,37 (excluding commission)

Bet 26 - Ireland vs Italy. ?43.19 on 1 goal or more @ 1.16 returns ?50.10 (excluding commission)

 

If this comes in then I'll have made it from around ?30 to almost ?50 in 4 bets!

 

I think this one could be a dodgy one though. Hopefully we get a goal within 10 minutes to calm the nerves. :2thumbsup:

 

Well done mate. I just stuck the game on as the ball hit the net! As i was contemplating putting my money on it.

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Bet 1 - (1/10/9) FC Timisoara v Dinamo Zagreb Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/25 ?5 pays ?5.20 - Win

Bet 2 - (2/10/9) Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/12 ?5.20 pays ?5.63 - Win

Bet3 - (3/10/9) Los Angeles Galaxy v Chicago Fire Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/33 ?5.63 pays ?5.80 - Win

Bet4 - (3/10/9) Coventry v Leicester Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/33 ?5.80 pays ?5.98 - Win

Bet5 - (3/10/9) Burnley v Birmingham Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/16 ?5.98 pays ?6.35 - Win

Bet6 - (3/10/9) Tenerife v Deportivo La Coruna Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/33 ?6.35 pays ?6.54 - Win

Bet7 - (4/10/9) Columbus v Seattle Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/25 ?6.54 pays ?6.80 - Win

Bet8 - (4/10/9) Rangers v Celtic Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/14 ?6.80 pays ?7.29[/b] - Win

Bet9 - (4/10/9) West Ham v Fulham Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/20 ?7.29 pays ?7.65 - Win

Bet10 - (4/10/9) (Betting in Running) Chelsea v Liverpool Over 0.5 Goals @ 2/9 ?7.65 pays ?9.35 - Win

Bet11 - (5/10/9) Nacional Madeira v Vit Guimaraes Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/12 ?9.35 pays ?10.13 - Win

Bet12 - (6/10/9) Bury v Tranmere Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/20 ?10.13 pays ?10.64 - Win

Bet13 - (7/10/9) Venezuela U20 v UAE U20 Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/20 ?10.64 pays ?11.17 - Win

Bet14 - (7/10/9) Recreativo Huelva v Las Palmas Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/20 ?11.17 pays ?11.73 - Win

Bet15 - (10/10/9) Finland v Wales Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/14 ?11.73 pays ?12.57 - Win

 

Bet16 - (10/10/9) (Betting in Running) Ireland v Italy Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/4

?12.57 Potential returns: ?15.71

 

Probably jumping on this to late but what the hell. :stuart:

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BoJack Horseman
I'll probably live to regret this...

 

Denmark v Sweden(HT) - ?26.30 on 1 or more goals @1.36 returns ?35.77

 

Also have ?15 on the Italy game @1.16.

 

 

And we're off...

 

Excellent. I should be at around ?52 after the Italy game is over. That was a close one though.

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Bet16 - (10/10/9) (Betting in Running) Ireland v Italy Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/4

?12.57 Potential returns: ?15.71

 

Probably jumping on this to late but what the hell. :stuart:

 

I feel this has 1-1 written all over it. Italy will be happy to see it out.

 

Stupid, stupid bet.

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I feel this has 1-1 written all over it. Italy will be happy to see it out.

 

Stupid, stupid bet.

 

Only time I'll cheer an Irish goal. :10900:

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BoJack Horseman
I feel this has 1-1 written all over it. Italy will be happy to see it out.

 

Stupid, stupid bet.

 

Lucky sod :P

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Bet 23 - Italy U20s vs Hungary U20s. ?33.78 on 1 goal or more @ 1.08 returns ?36.48 (excluding commission)

Bet 24 - Finland vs Wales. ?36.34 on 1 goal or more @ 1.10 returns ?39.97 (excluding commission)

Bet 25 - Ukraine vs England. ?39.79 on 1 goal or more @ 1.09 returns ?43,37 (excluding commission)

Bet 26 - Ireland vs Italy. ?43.19 on 1 goal or more @ 1.16 returns ?50.10 (excluding commission)

Bet 27 - Ecuador vs Uruguay. ?49.75 on 1 goal or more @ 1.09 returns ?54.23 (excluding commission)

 

Hopefully another early goal. :2thumbsup:

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Bet 1 - (1/10/9) FC Timisoara v Dinamo Zagreb Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/25 ?5 pays ?5.20 - Win

Bet 2 - (2/10/9) Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/12 ?5.20 pays ?5.63 - Win

Bet3 - (3/10/9) Los Angeles Galaxy v Chicago Fire Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/33 ?5.63 pays ?5.80 - Win

Bet4 - (3/10/9) Coventry v Leicester Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/33 ?5.80 pays ?5.98 - Win

Bet5 - (3/10/9) Burnley v Birmingham Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/16 ?5.98 pays ?6.35 - Win

Bet6 - (3/10/9) Tenerife v Deportivo La Coruna Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/33 ?6.35 pays ?6.54 - Win

Bet7 - (4/10/9) Columbus v Seattle Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/25 ?6.54 pays ?6.80 - Win

Bet8 - (4/10/9) Rangers v Celtic Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/14 ?6.80 pays ?7.29 - Win

Bet9 - (4/10/9) West Ham v Fulham Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/20 ?7.29 pays ?7.65 - Win

Bet10 - (4/10/9) (Betting in Running) Chelsea v Liverpool Over 0.5 Goals @ 2/9 ?7.65 pays ?9.35 - Win

Bet11 - (5/10/9) Nacional Madeira v Vit Guimaraes Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/12 ?9.35 pays ?10.13 - Win

Bet12 - (6/10/9) Bury v Tranmere Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/20 ?10.13 pays ?10.64 - Win

Bet13 - (7/10/9) Venezuela U20 v UAE U20 Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/20 ?10.64 pays ?11.17 - Win

Bet14 - (7/10/9) Recreativo Huelva v Las Palmas Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/20 ?11.17 pays ?11.73 - Win

Bet15 - (10/10/9) Finland v Wales Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/14 ?11.73 pays ?12.57 - Win

Bet16 - (10/10/9) (Betting in Running) Ireland v Italy Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/4 ?12.57 pays ?15.71 - Win

 

Bet17 - (10/10/9) Colombia v Chile Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/20 ?15.71 Potential returns: ?16.50

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Ecuador v Uruguay - ?52.58 on 1 goal or more @1.08/1.09 returns ?56.91

 

Ha sorry about that. I left about a fiver in the 1.09 pot after my bet. :hat2:

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Bet 23 - Italy U20s vs Hungary U20s. ?33.78 on 1 goal or more @ 1.08 returns ?36.48 (excluding commission)

Bet 24 - Finland vs Wales. ?36.34 on 1 goal or more @ 1.10 returns ?39.97 (excluding commission)

Bet 25 - Ukraine vs England. ?39.79 on 1 goal or more @ 1.09 returns ?43,37 (excluding commission)

Bet 26 - Ireland vs Italy. ?43.19 on 1 goal or more @ 1.16 returns ?50.10 (excluding commission)

Bet 27 - Ecuador vs Uruguay. ?49.75 on 1 goal or more @ 1.09 returns ?54.23 (excluding commission)

Bet 28 - Honduras vs USA. ?54.00 on 1 goal or more @ 1.10 returns ?59.40 (excluding commission)

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Bet 23 - Italy U20s vs Hungary U20s. ?33.78 on 1 goal or more @ 1.08 returns ?36.48 (excluding commission)

Bet 24 - Finland vs Wales. ?36.34 on 1 goal or more @ 1.10 returns ?39.97 (excluding commission)

Bet 25 - Ukraine vs England. ?39.79 on 1 goal or more @ 1.09 returns ?43.37 (excluding commission)

Bet 26 - Ireland vs Italy. ?43.19 on 1 goal or more @ 1.16 returns ?50.10 (excluding commission)

Bet 27 - Ecuador vs Uruguay. ?49.75 on 1 goal or more @ 1.09 returns ?54.23 (excluding commission)

Bet 28 - Honduras vs USA. ?54.00 on 1 goal or more @ 1.10 returns ?59.40 (excluding commission)

Bet 29 - East Bengal Club vs JCT. ?59.13 on 1 goal or more @ 1.06 returns ?62.68 (excluding commission)

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Pot 1

Bet 1 Bolton v Spurs ?4 on 1+goal profit 24p Win

Bet 2 Arsenal v Blackburn ?4.24 on 2+ goals profit 81p Win

Bet 3 Chelsea v Liverpool ?5.14 on +1 goal profit 46p Win

Bet 4 Sevilla v Real Madrid ?5.65 on +1 goal profit 28p Win

Bet 5 Rep of Ireland v Italy ?5.00 on +1 goal profit 80p Win

Bet 6 Bolivia v Brazil ?5.59 on +1 goal profit 34p

 

Pot 2

Bet 1 Wolves v Portsmouth ?4 on 1+goal profit 36p Win

Bet 2 Man Utd v Sunderland ?4.36 on +2 goals profit 92p Win

Bet 3 H Berlin v Hamburg ?5.14 on +1 goal profit 31p Win

Bet 4 Aston Villa v Man City ?5.65 on +1 goal profit 40p Win

Bet 5 Denmark v Sweden ?4.95 on +1 goal profit 50p Win

Bet 6 Notts County v Torquay ?5.59 +1 goal profit 28p

 

Pot 3

Bet 1 Maroon Machine 17th Oct Dewhurt Stakes ?2 Win 27/1

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BoJack Horseman
Bet 23 - Italy U20s vs Hungary U20s. ?33.78 on 1 goal or more @ 1.08 returns ?36.48 (excluding commission)

Bet 24 - Finland vs Wales. ?36.34 on 1 goal or more @ 1.10 returns ?39.97 (excluding commission)

Bet 25 - Ukraine vs England. ?39.79 on 1 goal or more @ 1.09 returns ?43.37 (excluding commission)

Bet 26 - Ireland vs Italy. ?43.19 on 1 goal or more @ 1.16 returns ?50.10 (excluding commission)

Bet 27 - Ecuador vs Uruguay. ?49.75 on 1 goal or more @ 1.09 returns ?54.23 (excluding commission)

Bet 28 - Honduras vs USA. ?54.00 on 1 goal or more @ 1.10 returns ?59.40 (excluding commission)

Bet 29 - East Bengal Club vs JCT. ?59.13 on 1 goal or more @ 1.06 returns ?62.68 (excluding commission)

 

I can get 1.26 on that bet just now. How confident are you?

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BoJack Horseman
1.35 now. 35 mins to go

 

1.36 now. Gets me ?20 return. Risky?

 

Edit...

 

1.52, ?30 return, 67 minutes in.

 

Think I'll pass.

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BoJack Horseman

Chucked ?6 on at 1.66. Returns ?9.96. 50p more than if I'd gone all in when Ali did.

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BoJack Horseman
Bet 23 - Italy U20s vs Hungary U20s. ?33.78 on 1 goal or more @ 1.08 returns ?36.48 (excluding commission)

Bet 24 - Finland vs Wales. ?36.34 on 1 goal or more @ 1.10 returns ?39.97 (excluding commission)

Bet 25 - Ukraine vs England. ?39.79 on 1 goal or more @ 1.09 returns ?43.37 (excluding commission)

Bet 26 - Ireland vs Italy. ?43.19 on 1 goal or more @ 1.16 returns ?50.10 (excluding commission)

Bet 27 - Ecuador vs Uruguay. ?49.75 on 1 goal or more @ 1.09 returns ?54.23 (excluding commission)

Bet 28 - Honduras vs USA. ?54.00 on 1 goal or more @ 1.10 returns ?59.40 (excluding commission)

Bet 29 - East Bengal Club vs JCT. ?59.13 on 1 goal or more @ 1.06 returns ?62.68 (excluding commission)

 

Crunch time mate. Good luck.

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BoJack Horseman

Ouch. That's a sore one.

 

Said I'd never bet on the Italian football but...

 

Torino v Modena - ?50.69 on 1 goal or more @1.08 returns ?54.75

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BoJack Horseman
Ah well. Nothing lost nothing gained. Two down today.

 

Think I'll try again tomorrow.

 

This was the post I had ready.

 

88th minute goal. GET IN!

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Say What Again
88th minute goal. GET IN!

 

Nice one!

 

 

 

:2thumbsup:

 

is this the money shot?! gl

 

The finishing line is in sight (maybe)

 

:10900:

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Era Macaroons

Bet 1 - Arsenal V Olympiacos ?10.00 1 goal or more @ 1.05 = ?10.50

Bet 2 - AC Milan v FC Zurich ?10.47 1 goal or more @ 1.04 = ?10.89

Bet 3 - Celtic v Rapid Vienna ?10.87 1 goal or more @ 1.06 = ?11.52

Bet 4 -Germany U20 v Cameroon U20 ?11.49 1 goal or more @1.07 = ?12.29

Bet 5 - Ghana U20 v South Africa U20 ?12.25 1 goal or more @ 1.05 = ?12.86

Bet 6 - Brazil U20 v Uruguay U20 ?12.83 1 goal or more @ 1.06 = ?13.60

Bet 7 - South Korea U20 v Ghana U20 ?13.56 1 goal or more @ 1.08 = ?14.64

Bet 8 - Russia v Germany ?14.59 1 goal or more @ 1.07 = ?15.61

 

Bet 9 - Notts Co v Tranmere ?15.56 1 goal or more @ 1.04 = ?16.18

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BoJack Horseman
Let down by the Indian premier league. :nah:

 

Congratulations Jack of Hearts. :D

 

Unlucky mate. Going to try again?

 

 

Bolivia v Brazil - ?54.54 on 1 goal or more @1.06 returns ?57.81

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Think I'm going to start this tonight :2thumbsup:

 

Brazil game seems the obvious bet but then isn't Bolivia the place where teams struggle because of the altiutde?

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Think I'm going to start this tonight :2thumbsup:

 

Brazil game seems the obvious bet but then isn't Bolivia the place where teams struggle because of the altiutde?

 

The game is meaningless I think. Could either be no goals or plenty of them. :hat2:

 

Think I'll leave it for a while, can't be arsed going through that again. :43:

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Bet 1 - (1/10/9) FC Timisoara v Dinamo Zagreb Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/25 ?5 pays ?5.20 - Win

Bet 2 - (2/10/9) Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/12 ?5.20 pays ?5.63 - Win

Bet3 - (3/10/9) Los Angeles Galaxy v Chicago Fire Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/33 ?5.63 pays ?5.80 - Win

Bet4 - (3/10/9) Coventry v Leicester Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/33 ?5.80 pays ?5.98 - Win

Bet5 - (3/10/9) Burnley v Birmingham Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/16 ?5.98 pays ?6.35 - Win

Bet6 - (3/10/9) Tenerife v Deportivo La Coruna Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/33 ?6.35 pays ?6.54 - Win

Bet7 - (4/10/9) Columbus v Seattle Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/25 ?6.54 pays ?6.80 - Win

Bet8 - (4/10/9) Rangers v Celtic Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/14 ?6.80 pays ?7.29 - Win

Bet9 - (4/10/9) West Ham v Fulham Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/20 ?7.29 pays ?7.65 - Win

Bet10 - (4/10/9) (Betting in Running) Chelsea v Liverpool Over 0.5 Goals @ 2/9 ?7.65 pays ?9.35 - Win

Bet11 - (5/10/9) Nacional Madeira v Vit Guimaraes Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/12 ?9.35 pays ?10.13 - Win

Bet12 - (6/10/9) Bury v Tranmere Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/20 ?10.13 pays ?10.64 - Win

Bet13 - (7/10/9) Venezuela U20 v UAE U20 Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/20 ?10.64 pays ?11.17 - Win

Bet14 - (7/10/9) Recreativo Huelva v Las Palmas Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/20 ?11.17 pays ?11.73 - Win

Bet15 - (10/10/9) Finland v Wales Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/14 ?11.73 pays ?12.57 - Win

Bet16 - (10/10/9) (Betting in Running) Ireland v Italy Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/4 ?12.57 pays ?15.71 - Win

Bet17 - (10/10/9) Colombia v Chile Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/20 ?15.71 pays ?16.50 - Win

 

Bet18 - (12/10/9) Tranmere v Stockport Over 0.5 Goals @ 1/33 ?16.50 Potential returns: ?17.00

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Say What Again
Let down by the Indian premier league. :nah:

 

Congratulations Jack of Hearts. :D

 

 

Thanks Ali, gutted you lost out after being so active. :sick:

 

 

 

Pots at ?103.27 (would have been ?112 if I hadn't used 4 x 'cover' bets). I really need to decide what to do next. The returns I'm getting with this pot are excellent, but to lose this amount would sting.

 

I'll sleep on it tonight and decide what next - any advice is welcome. I'm thinking keep going, but I'm due a loss. Maybe withdraw ?40 (3 x my initial stake) and leave a healthy ?63 to play with?

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