General Election 2019

[Shanks said no]

It's official, 12th December, the nation will decide.

[Jambo_Gaz]

Good. 

[Mikey1874]

Good stuff.

 

Brexit thread on hold. 

[Mikey1874]

Exciting for any politics watchers. 

 

Cold nights in watching it unfold.

[Jambo_Gaz]

Will be interesting for sure. 

[Cade]

Hard Brexit Lunatic Tories may vote Brexit Party.

Remain Tories may vote LibDem or even Labour.

Centerist Labour may vote LibDem.

Brexit Labour may vote Tory.

SNP will clean up in Scotland.

Northern Ireland will stay as it is because the sectarian votes never, ever change.

Wales will remain irrelevant.

 

Absolutely anything could happen in this one.

 

Probably a hung parliament and a confidence and supply deal, if the arithmetic works.

[Shanks said no]

Will be booking Friday 13th off.

 

Different all-nighter than my younger days

[gashauskis9]

1 minute ago, Cade said:

Hard Brexit Lunatic Tories may vote Brexit Party.

Remain Tories may vote LibDem or even Labour.

Centerist Labour may vote LibDem.

Brexit Labour may vote Tory.

SNP will clean up in Scotland.

Northern Ireland will stay as it is because the sectarian votes never, ever change.

Wales will remain irrelevant.

 

Absolutely anything could happen in this one.

 

Probably a hung parliament and a confidence and supply deal, if the arithmetic works.

Good evaluation chief.  Actually think Brexit Labour could go Brexit Party or Tory.  Only thing that’s certain is that Lib Dem and Brexit Party will do well and Labour will get pummelled.  There’s no way that the electorate will entertain the idea of a PM trying to renegotiate a deal even if the carrot is a 2nd referendum.  People’s Vote only has mileage if it’s the existing deal that is put to the people.  

Lib Dem stance is a strong one - vote for us if you want the whole thing revoked, with the plan B bring to support a People’s Vote.  That’s where my vote’s going. 

[Cade]

A wee reminder:

The Communication Worker's Union has already voted for industrial action in the run-up to xmas.

Postal votes may not make it to the count.

 

 

[glynnlondon]

A hate filled Christmas beckons.

No further forward or backward and the turkey ruined.

Maybe we can squeeze a border poll and indy ref 2 in and have Scots and N Irish fighting amongst themselves as well while we're at it.

Poor baby Jesus what a shite birthday this year.

[hughesie27]

Tories to win by a mile. Unfortunately. SNP to lose some seats too. Unfortunately.

[gashauskis9]

1 minute ago, hughesie27 said:

Tories to win by a mile. Unfortunately. SNP to lose some seats too. Unfortunately.

Can’t see SNP losing seats.  Brexit Party will decide whether the Tories have a majority or not.

[manaliveits105]

Correct Scottish No Policy party in for a shock from the people of Scotland

[gashauskis9]

13 minutes ago, Cade said:

A wee reminder:

The Communication Worker's Union has already voted for industrial action in the run-up to xmas.

Postal votes may not make it to the count.

 

 

Cumming’s dirty work written all over it.

[Kiwidoug]

Great news for me.  It all happens in daytime here and although I have been exiled here for many years I still take a real interest.

 

Hope Ian Murray puts Unite in their place and comes in with a stunning majority.  That's because ice met him and he is a top bloke and a top Jambo.

[Costanza]

A hung parliament with the Tories needing a deal with the Brexit Party to claim a majority. 

A country totally and utterly ****ed.

Merry Christmas!

[milky_26]

14 minutes ago, hughesie27 said:

Tories to win by a mile. Unfortunately. SNP to lose some seats too. Unfortunately.

i have a feeling that will happen with labour taking a hammering especially in areas that voted to leave, unless their candidate goes against their party (that assumes they put a referendum or something similar in their manifesto)

[gashauskis9]

1 minute ago, Costanza said:

A hung parliament with the Tories needing a deal with the Brexit Party to claim a majority. 

A country totally and utterly ****ed.

Merry Christmas!

Correct.  Johnson, Farage and Trump = The Tripart of Terror.  Friday the 13th in more ways than one.

[Mikey1874]

28 minutes ago, Cade said:

Hard Brexit Lunatic Tories may vote Brexit Party.

Remain Tories may vote LibDem or even Labour.

Centerist Labour may vote LibDem.

Brexit Labour may vote Tory.

SNP will clean up in Scotland.

Northern Ireland will stay as it is because the sectarian votes never, ever change.

Wales will remain irrelevant.

 

Absolutely anything could happen in this one.

 

Probably a hung parliament and a confidence and supply deal, if the arithmetic works.

 

DUP and Ulster Unionists pact not to compete has broken down. Due to DUP pro Brexit stance. 

 

Opens door to at least one DUP seat being lost to Sinn Fein.

[Shanks said no]

Edinburgh West 2017

 

Liberal Democrat                  Christine Jardine    18,108    
Scottish National Party       Toni Giugliano          15,120  
Conservative                          Sandy Batho             11,559    
Labour                                     Mandy Telford           7,876

and 
Scotland's Independence Referendum Party  Mark Whittet     132

[Mikey1874]

4 minutes ago, Costanza said:

A hung parliament with the Tories needing a deal with the Brexit Party to claim a majority. 

A country totally and utterly ****ed.

Merry Christmas!

 

Find it hard to find any Brexit Party MPs.

 

We don't have proportional representation. 

[The Real Maroonblood]

18 minutes ago, manaliveits105 said:

Correct Scottish No Policy party in for a shock from the people of Scotland

[Shanks said no]

Edinburgh South 2017

 

Labour                                  Ian Murray                26,269       
Scottish National Party     Jim Eadie                  10,755    
Conservative                        Stephanie Smith       9,428      
Liberal Democrat                  Alan Beal                   1,388    

[Cade]

Expect some eggheads to produce spreadsheets of target seats and diddy majorities overnight.

 

I cannae be ersed to do it myself.

[Shanks said no]

Edinburgh East 2017

 

Scottish National Party        Tommy Sheppard    18,509    
Labour                                      Patsy King                15,084   
Conservative                           Katie Mackie              8,081    
Liberal Democrat                   Tristan Gray                1,849

[3fingersreid]

3 minutes ago, The Frenchman Returns said:

Edinburgh West 2017

 

Liberal Democrat                  Christine Jardine    18,108    
Scottish National Party       Toni Giugliano          15,120  
Conservative                          Sandy Batho             11,559    
Labour                                     Mandy Telford           7,876

and 
Scotland's Independence Referendum Party  Mark Whittet     132

That mark whittet fella looks like a 1970’s German prom star . 
 

Hopefully the country will look at other policies rather than just Brexit given it’s a general election . 

[Ray Gin]

'Mon the SNP.

 

[Newton51]

Bye Scottish tories 😆

[Shanks said no]

Edinburgh North and Leith 2017

 

Scottish National Party     Deidre Brock       19,243    
Labour                                  Gordon Munro    17,618   
Conservative                       Iain McGill           15,385    
Liberal Democrat                Martin Veart         2,579 
Green Party                          Lorna Slater          1,727  

Edited October 29, 2019 by The Frenchman Returns

[Cade]

12 minutes ago, Cade said:

Expect some eggheads to produce spreadsheets of target seats and diddy majorities overnight.

 

I cannae be ersed to do it myself.

Turns out I could be ersed

Tons of seats up for grabs

52 seats across the UK with three-figure majorities.

 

2017 majorities.xlsx

Edited October 29, 2019 by Cade

[Shanks said no]

Edinburgh South West 2017

 

Scottish National Party       Joanna Cherry           17,575    
Conservative                         Miles Briggs              16,478    
Labour                                    Foysol Choudhury    13,213    
Liberal Democrat                   Aisha Mir                    2,124    

[Shanks said no]

East Lothian 2017

 

Labour                                 Martin Whitfield        20,158    
Scottish National Party     George Kerevan      17,075    
Conservative                       Sheila Low                16,540    
Liberal Democrat                Elisabeth Wilson       1,738   
Independent                        Mike Allan                     367

[Victorian]

I'm in Cherry's constituency.    Filth a close second.    Cherry it is.

 

ATAB

 

 

[Shanks said no]

Livingston 2017

 

Scottish National Party      Hannah Bardell       21,036   
Labour                                    Rhea Wolfson         17,158   

 Conservative                        Damian Timson    12,799    
Liberal Democrat                 Charles Dundas    1,512

 

others available at https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies

[Cade]

Home Secretary Priti Patel's chief of staff has been thrown out of a Parliamentary bar by armed police after losing his heid during an argument.

 

[jumpship]

"Poll"

[Japan Jambo]

looks like my geeky kind of thread. If you haven't discovered this yet you may enjoy - it's never 100% accurate but it helps give context to what folks are looking at...

 

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

[dobmisterdobster]

I will be voting for Boris.

Not because he is the most compelling but because everyone else is that much less compelling.

[Adam Murray]

This is already doing the rounds by pro unionist's, on how to tactically vote out the SNP.

 

A few very close calls from the last GE

 

It's going to be a very bitter run up to Christmas.

[Boof]

10 minutes ago, dobmisterdobster said:

I will be voting for Boris.

Not because he is the most compelling but because everyone else is that much less compelling.

 

Has he decided yet in which constituency he intends to stand?

[The Real Maroonblood]

15 minutes ago, dobmisterdobster said:

I will be voting for Boris.

Not because he is the most compelling but because everyone else is that much less compelling.

He might be dead in a ditch.

[Costanza]

51 minutes ago, Mikey1874 said:

 

Find it hard to find any Brexit Party MPs.

 

We don't have proportional representation. 

Possibly but unlike UKIP, I can see a number of Leave voters coalescing around the Brexit Party in certain seats,  especially any where the Tory MP is seen as a remainer.

This election is going to see a lot of voters focus on what local candidate is best placed to deliver a Remain or Leave vote, rather than necessarily vote for their traditional party.

 

Which is why in my view, a general election is a terrible way to resolve Brexit. 

A referendum and then a general election would be the best way in my view but won't happen as the polls suggest Leave will lose and that isn't good for those backing Johnson and Farage.

[Costanza]

20 minutes ago, dobmisterdobster said:

I will be voting for Boris.

Not because he is the most compelling but because everyone else is that much less compelling.

The most compelling liar?

[Pans Jambo]

Is that red puss’d tory Carlaw car salesman running their show up here fu time now the tank commander has quit the hotseat? 
 

He should clean up eh 

[North Berwick Jambo]

I am looking forward to the next day when they reveal that lovely yellow coloured  map covering almost all of Scotland with not a singe blue spot on it. 

[Pans Jambo]

Just now, Zlatanable said:

not long before you find out. 

True. 
List it is!

[Adam Murray]

I would be very surprised if the silent majority, who seem to have been continually ignored these past 4-5 years, do not make their feelings more strongly heard at the ballot box come 12th December, on what is unfortunately, going to be a single issue General Election.

[Cade]

32 seats across the UK where Tories hold a majority of less than 2,500 over Labour in 2nd place last time out.

2 seats across the UK where the Tories hold a majority of less than 2,500 over LibDems in 2nd place last time out.

 

27 seats across the UK where Labour hold a majority of less than 2,500 over Tories in 2nd place last time out.

1 seat across the UK where Labour hold a majority of less than 2,500 over LibDems in 2nd place last time out.

 

5 seats across the UK where LibDems hold a majority of less than 2,500 over last Election's winners.

 

5 seats in Scotland where Tories were less than 2,500 votes behind the SNP.

12 seats in Scotland where Labour were less than 2,500 votes behind the SNP.

7 seats in Scotland where the SNP were less than 2,500 votes behind last Election's winners.

 

102 seats across the UK where the majority for any party was less than 2,500 last time out.

 

Fine margins everywhere.

 

 

 

[dobmisterdobster]

22 minutes ago, Adam Murray said:

This is already doing the rounds by pro unionist's, on how to tactically vote out the SNP.

 

A few very close calls from the last GE

 

It's going to be a very bitter run up to Christmas.

I appreciate the effort but unfortunately tactical voting rarely works. Most people aren't bothered.

[indianajones]

I urge you all to vote correctly and rid this nation of tory scum.