Key points from John Curtice here:
- The average fall in support for the Tories of 21 points shows the opinion polls are accurate
- Even if Labour just replicated the 7% swing in Uxbridge, Sunak would lose his majority

early morning analysis w/@elashton https://t.co/XEwx9Xf3aT

— Ellen Milligan (@EllenAMilligan) July 21, 2023