Don Dan Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 21 minutes ago, redjambo said: 60 people were in intensive care yesterday with recently confirmed COVID-19 [-2] I do wish they would clarify if these patients were discharge as in on the way to recovery. The same for hospitalised patients as well. It would give a better perspective a better understanding of the figures. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redjambo Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 1 minute ago, Boy Daniel said: I do wish they would clarify if these patients were discharge as in on the way to recovery. The same for hospitalised patients as well. It would give a better perspective a better understanding of the figures. Agreed, BD. Someone in ICU with Covid can (i) die, (ii) leave ICU but remain in hospital, (iii) leave ICU and hospital entirely (unlikely, but let's include it for the sake of completeness), (iv) be in ICU for more than 28 days and therefore drop out of the stats. It would be useful to have a breakdown of the figures. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DETTY29 Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 (edited) 18 minutes ago, theshed said: Booked seats on Saturday for 2pm. Sat waiting till Table was ready at 2.15. Then had to download app from thr table I was sat at and couldn’t get signal so had to join their WiFi ( should have done this on arrival I know) Anyway after a carry on trying to order a mixer for the vodka the drinks arrived just after 230pm. 30 mins to get one drink leaving me with 1 hour 30 mins of my booked two hour slot I asked if the person could just take my order but she said no and to use the app. Was on the verge of just walking out but knew I wouldn’t get in anywhere else so just stayed No going back to a pub till I can walk up and order at the bar This will probably become a new normal for many chain pubs especially. It's just ust that Covid has brought it on a lot quicker. Edited August 2, 2021 by DETTY29 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Mighty Thor Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 I see leading scientific expert and darling of the tin foil hatters on this thread, Neil Oliver, is 'standing up for freedom, yours and mine together' to 'cheerfully risk catching covid' by refusing his vaccine. Good lad. Hopefully covid obliges the utter helmet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nucky Thompson Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, DETTY29 said: This will probably become a new normal for many chain pubs especially. It's just ust that Covid has brought it on a lot quicker. It's not happened in England. They couldn't wait to get back to normal Less staff are required if people can queue at the bar to get served. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theshed Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, DETTY29 said: This will probably become a new normal for many chain pubs especially. It's just ust that Covid has brought it on a lot quicker. Yes I know what your saying but they really could do with more staff as when the pubs allow more people in id hate to think how long you will wait on your drink. Feel sorry for the staff as they will be run off their feet and have everyone moaning at them asking where their drinks are Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unknown user Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 21 minutes ago, The Mighty Thor said: I see leading scientific expert and darling of the tin foil hatters on this thread, Neil Oliver, is 'standing up for freedom, yours and mine together' to 'cheerfully risk catching covid' by refusing his vaccine. Good lad. Hopefully covid obliges the utter helmet. He's a real whalloper's whalloper Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fxxx the SPFL Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 1 hour ago, redjambo said: The latest trend stats. No significant changes from the trends over the last few days. 7-day per-100,000 cases Council Area WHO Today Yesterday 31 Jul 30 Jul 29 Jul 28 Jul 27 Jul ... 1 May Scotland 145 149 -4 152 158 159 166 176 ... 22 Inverclyde 4 223 225 -2 222 219 186 186 197 ... 15 West Dunbartonshire 4 207 221 -14 216 223 229 232 237 ... 28 South Lanarkshire 4 203 208 -5 201 202 194 189 180 ... 18 Na h-Eileanan Siar 4 196 208 -12 204 223 230 238 192 ... 0 North Lanarkshire 4 196 192 +4 203 206 206 217 226 ... 40 West Lothian 4 186 187 -1 187 181 174 187 188 ... 26 Midlothian 4 175 160 +15 166 176 176 180 211 ... 10 Clackmannanshire 4 168 174 -6 183 199 193 189 187 ... 14 Glasgow City 4 160 169 -9 175 185 187 206 224 ... 33 East Lothian 4 158 157 +1 169 192 196 216 216 ... 5 North Ayrshire 4 156 165 -9 168 174 157 164 156 ... 17 Stirling 4 151 163 -12 172 158 158 171 182 ... 11 Dundee City 3 149 155 -6 161 165 165 170 182 ... 13 Fife 3 149 154 -5 161 164 162 167 171 ... 32 South Ayrshire 3 146 143 +3 141 139 130 134 144 ... 25 East Dunbartonshire 3 140 131 +9 119 108 106 111 130 ... 51 Aberdeen City 3 138 141 -3 141 144 141 148 152 ... 13 Dumfries & Galloway 3 134 140 -6 144 138 133 121 130 ... 19 Edinburgh City 3 133 140 -7 148 153 159 173 183 ... 27 Renfrewshire 3 133 135 -2 132 137 147 152 163 ... 20 East Renfrewshire 3 128 122 +6 113 120 136 148 160 ... 24 Falkirk 3 123 131 -8 140 146 149 152 165 ... 23 East Ayrshire 3 120 122 -2 126 137 141 156 164 ... 45 Scottish Borders 3 102 107 -5 118 133 141 144 150 ... 6 Angus 3 98 113 -15 115 112 116 119 133 ... 7 Highland 3 96 105 -9 105 123 130 121 133 ... 9 Perth & Kinross 3 95 95 0 99 104 104 116 132 ... 22 Aberdeenshire 3 90 93 -3 83 85 94 99 108 ... 8 Moray 3 89 96 -7 103 109 121 129 139 ... 65 Argyll & Bute 3 84 107 -23 115 114 114 130 150 ... 7 Shetland Islands 3 79 74 +5 83 96 122 122 171 ... 0 Orkney Islands 1 9 9 0 27 36 40 49 54 ... 0 7-day averages Today Yesterday 31 Jul 30 Jul 29 Jul 28 Jul 27 Jul ... 1 May Tests 23730 23705 +25 23296 23458 23430 23373 23829 ... 18484 Cases 1133 1161 -28 1190 1232 1239 1300 1372 ... 171 Positivity rate % 5.3 5.4 -0.1 5.7 5.8 5.9 6.2 6.4 ... 1.1 Deaths 6.9 6.7 +0.2 6.3 6.6 6.6 7.9 7.6 ... 1.3 All Vaccinations 19509 18909 +600 18635 19016 18891 18716 18581 ... 45346 1st Dose 1981 1994 -13 2104 2179 2213 2261 2318 ... 6677 2nd Dose 17528 16915 +613 16531 16837 16678 16455 16263 ... 38669 All in hospital 455 464 -9 473 477 482 481 489 ... 81 Non-ICU 393 402 -9 410 415 420 420 429 ... 70 ICU 62 62 0 63 62 62 61 60 ... 11 cheers red as ever figures certainly looking good downward spiral on case numbers in hospital ICU pretty stable will hopefully drop soon albeit slowly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westbow Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 36 minutes ago, Smithee said: He's a real whalloper's whalloper It's a shame what happened to him. Presumably embittered. Some halfwits pathetically started up a petition objecting to his appointment as president of the National Trust for Scotland because he had the temerity to be anti independence. Then the David Starkey thing when Oliver said he loved him, Starkey said some unbelievably offensive drivel, which somehow Oliver became retrospectively tarred with. It happens, when you argue with those who are radicalised you can end up taking a position out of bitterness. Going to the extremes. Listening to him slaver now is sad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Governor Tarkin Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 2 hours ago, The Mighty Thor said: I see leading scientific expert and darling of the tin foil hatters on this thread, Neil Oliver, is 'standing up for freedom, yours and mine together' to 'cheerfully risk catching covid' by refusing his vaccine. Good lad. Hopefully covid obliges the utter helmet. Most blokes with long hair are utter helmets tbf. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milky_26 Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, Governor Tarkin said: Most blokes with long hair are utter helmets tbf. just because youre going bald Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Governor Tarkin Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, milky_26 said: just because youre going bald Swing and miss, chump. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Governor Tarkin Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 1 hour ago, westbow said: It happens, when you argue with those who are radicalised you can end up taking a position out of bitterness. Going to the extremes. ^^^^ This is me on The Terrace. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milky_26 Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, Governor Tarkin said: Swing and miss, chump. thinning? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeffros Furios Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 Just now, milky_26 said: thinning? He wears a wig for his shift in the kebab shop . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Governor Tarkin Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 Just now, milky_26 said: thinning? Forehead of three men. Born with it, unfortunately. Other than that, nope. Fantastic barnet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milky_26 Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 Just now, Governor Tarkin said: Forehead of three men. Born with it, unfortunately. Other than that, nope. Fantastic barnet. i heard priti patel loves a man with long flowing locks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Real Maroonblood Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 2 hours ago, redjambo said: The latest trend stats. No significant changes from the trends over the last few days. 7-day per-100,000 cases Council Area WHO Today Yesterday 31 Jul 30 Jul 29 Jul 28 Jul 27 Jul ... 1 May Scotland 145 149 -4 152 158 159 166 176 ... 22 Inverclyde 4 223 225 -2 222 219 186 186 197 ... 15 West Dunbartonshire 4 207 221 -14 216 223 229 232 237 ... 28 South Lanarkshire 4 203 208 -5 201 202 194 189 180 ... 18 Na h-Eileanan Siar 4 196 208 -12 204 223 230 238 192 ... 0 North Lanarkshire 4 196 192 +4 203 206 206 217 226 ... 40 West Lothian 4 186 187 -1 187 181 174 187 188 ... 26 Midlothian 4 175 160 +15 166 176 176 180 211 ... 10 Clackmannanshire 4 168 174 -6 183 199 193 189 187 ... 14 Glasgow City 4 160 169 -9 175 185 187 206 224 ... 33 East Lothian 4 158 157 +1 169 192 196 216 216 ... 5 North Ayrshire 4 156 165 -9 168 174 157 164 156 ... 17 Stirling 4 151 163 -12 172 158 158 171 182 ... 11 Dundee City 3 149 155 -6 161 165 165 170 182 ... 13 Fife 3 149 154 -5 161 164 162 167 171 ... 32 South Ayrshire 3 146 143 +3 141 139 130 134 144 ... 25 East Dunbartonshire 3 140 131 +9 119 108 106 111 130 ... 51 Aberdeen City 3 138 141 -3 141 144 141 148 152 ... 13 Dumfries & Galloway 3 134 140 -6 144 138 133 121 130 ... 19 Edinburgh City 3 133 140 -7 148 153 159 173 183 ... 27 Renfrewshire 3 133 135 -2 132 137 147 152 163 ... 20 East Renfrewshire 3 128 122 +6 113 120 136 148 160 ... 24 Falkirk 3 123 131 -8 140 146 149 152 165 ... 23 East Ayrshire 3 120 122 -2 126 137 141 156 164 ... 45 Scottish Borders 3 102 107 -5 118 133 141 144 150 ... 6 Angus 3 98 113 -15 115 112 116 119 133 ... 7 Highland 3 96 105 -9 105 123 130 121 133 ... 9 Perth & Kinross 3 95 95 0 99 104 104 116 132 ... 22 Aberdeenshire 3 90 93 -3 83 85 94 99 108 ... 8 Moray 3 89 96 -7 103 109 121 129 139 ... 65 Argyll & Bute 3 84 107 -23 115 114 114 130 150 ... 7 Shetland Islands 3 79 74 +5 83 96 122 122 171 ... 0 Orkney Islands 1 9 9 0 27 36 40 49 54 ... 0 7-day averages Today Yesterday 31 Jul 30 Jul 29 Jul 28 Jul 27 Jul ... 1 May Tests 23730 23705 +25 23296 23458 23430 23373 23829 ... 18484 Cases 1133 1161 -28 1190 1232 1239 1300 1372 ... 171 Positivity rate % 5.3 5.4 -0.1 5.7 5.8 5.9 6.2 6.4 ... 1.1 Deaths 6.9 6.7 +0.2 6.3 6.6 6.6 7.9 7.6 ... 1.3 All Vaccinations 19509 18909 +600 18635 19016 18891 18716 18581 ... 45346 1st Dose 1981 1994 -13 2104 2179 2213 2261 2318 ... 6677 2nd Dose 17528 16915 +613 16531 16837 16678 16455 16263 ... 38669 All in hospital 455 464 -9 473 477 482 481 489 ... 81 Non-ICU 393 402 -9 410 415 420 420 429 ... 70 ICU 62 62 0 63 62 62 61 60 ... 11 👍 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Governor Tarkin Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 1 minute ago, Jeffros Furios said: He wears a wig for his shift in the kebab shop . Do you want chili sauce with that? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Governor Tarkin Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 Just now, milky_26 said: i heard priti patel loves a man with long flowing locks Got balls like Chewbacca. 👍 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nucky Thompson Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 21,952 new positive cases in the UK, the lowest since 29th June. A million cases a week was it not Neil Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enzo Chiefo Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 5 hours ago, Gizmo said: And then they came for the intellectuals...* *FOOTNOTE. Enzo survived this particular culling with ease. Critical thinkers are always useful to even the most grotesque regime. 😉 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Mighty Thor Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 1 hour ago, Governor Tarkin said: Forehead of three men. Born with it, unfortunately. Other than that, nope. Fantastic barnet. Big face cloth? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enzo Chiefo Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 15 hours ago, Smithee said: Oh right, hundreds of thousands of smart kids went to school, got into science and became scientists on a voyage of discovery, only to universally turn their back on their search for truth and collectively lie to oppress the world's population, in order to enhance their own interests. (Free Bunsen burners? A new lab coat?) And the people fighting for truth aren't those smart kids who dedicated their lives to scientific discovery, it's the conspiracy theorist gobshites who couldn't get any further than high school science, they're the ones who have credibility in your eyes. "The science" encompasses everything from the fantastic work done by Sarah Gilbert and her team at Oxford to the statisticians like Neil Ferguson who can produce any old garbage and still retain the respect of certain sections of the population. Economics is also a "science" but those particular experts have been given nearly enough airtime. Seeing short term "exponential" growth and continuing the trajectory indefinitely is the stuff of primary school statistics. It was clear before, it certainly is now with real world evidence, that not everybody is susceptible to catching Covid, with or without mitigations. That has been the biggest flaw in the modelling we have been subjected to, although, as confirmed by SAGE minutes from last year, the idea was to scare people as we "were not frightened enough". In that respect, it could be deemed a success. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Governor Tarkin Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 49 minutes ago, The Mighty Thor said: Big face cloth? If only a cloth would do the job. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unknown user Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 1 hour ago, Enzo Chiefo said: "The science" encompasses everything from the fantastic work done by Sarah Gilbert and her team at Oxford to the statisticians like Neil Ferguson who can produce any old garbage and still retain the respect of certain sections of the population. Economics is also a "science" but those particular experts have been given nearly enough airtime. Seeing short term "exponential" growth and continuing the trajectory indefinitely is the stuff of primary school statistics. It was clear before, it certainly is now with real world evidence, that not everybody is susceptible to catching Covid, with or without mitigations. That has been the biggest flaw in the modelling we have been subjected to, although, as confirmed by SAGE minutes from last year, the idea was to scare people as we "were not frightened enough". In that respect, it could be deemed a success. Why do clueless wankers on the internet carry so much more credibility? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Governor Tarkin Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Smithee said: Why do clueless wankers on the internet carry so much more credibility? Our posts don't carry any credibility, mate. Edited August 2, 2021 by Governor Tarkin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Francis Albert Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 (edited) 5 hours ago, DETTY29 said: This will probably become a new normal for many chain pubs especially. It's just ust that Covid has brought it on a lot quicker. Since restrictions in England were lifted/relaxed every pub I have been in has dispensed with the requirement for table service though some offer it as an alternative to going to the bar. It makes a huge difference. One chain pub during the restrictions warned at the door that just to order a drink would take 15 minutes. **** that for a game of soldiers ...( an expression I have not heard for a long time.) Edited August 2, 2021 by Francis Albert Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoff Kilpatrick Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 5 hours ago, The Mighty Thor said: I see leading scientific expert and darling of the tin foil hatters on this thread, Neil Oliver, is 'standing up for freedom, yours and mine together' to 'cheerfully risk catching covid' by refusing his vaccine. Good lad. Hopefully covid obliges the utter helmet. If he got long covid and alopecia... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enzo Chiefo Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 1 hour ago, Smithee said: Why do clueless wankers on the internet carry so much more credibility? Why are "scientists" the only profession not judged by results? We've been told at various stages of the last 18mths that facemasks don't work, then they are mandatory and essential, we were informed daily - bored rigid - by the monotonous hand cleaning regime message, to prevent Covid being transmitted from surfaces, only to now be told it's not spread that way. Indeed only today, tests carried out on trains and buses found absolutely no trace of Covid particles. That's before we even start about ridiculous graphs forecasting 4k daily deaths, 100k , or even 200(Two hundred)k cases per day. David Begg was a Prof of Town Planning but a taxi driver or bus driver , with real world experience, was far more qualified to discuss the traffic issues, problems and required fixes in Edinburgh. With respect, you're coming over a bit Gordon Strachan-like implying deferment to the "experts ". "What do supporters know, they've never played the game" A population that doesn't assess, challenge, judge and criticise those in power, is a population that is suppressed. That is a situation that all governments dream of. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Governor Tarkin Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 49 minutes ago, Geoff Kilpatrick said: If he got alopecia... A condition that would benefit most women if only from the neck down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jack D and coke Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 6 hours ago, Smithee said: He's a real whalloper's whalloper I’ve just seen it. WW2 blah blah spitfires blah blah facking ell demented these people….if I give it to you that’s my right Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoff Kilpatrick Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 49 minutes ago, Enzo Chiefo said: Why are "scientists" the only profession not judged by results? We've been told at various stages of the last 18mths that facemasks don't work, then they are mandatory and essential, we were informed daily - bored rigid - by the monotonous hand cleaning regime message, to prevent Covid being transmitted from surfaces, only to now be told it's not spread that way. Indeed only today, tests carried out on trains and buses found absolutely no trace of Covid particles. That's before we even start about ridiculous graphs forecasting 4k daily deaths, 100k , or even 200(Two hundred)k cases per day. David Begg was a Prof of Town Planning but a taxi driver or bus driver , with real world experience, was far more qualified to discuss the traffic issues, problems and required fixes in Edinburgh. With respect, you're coming over a bit Gordon Strachan-like implying deferment to the "experts ". "What do supporters know, they've never played the game" A population that doesn't assess, challenge, judge and criticise those in power, is a population that is suppressed. That is a situation that all governments dream of. Covid-19 is a new virus so the initial advice was based on known viruses. As knowledge has evolved, the advice has then changed and built on what was known. We don't discard knowledge, we use it as a platform to build on and challenge. Would you rather they had stuck to the initial plan without changing with the evidence? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jack D and coke Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, Geoff Kilpatrick said: Covid-19 is a new virus so the initial advice was based on known viruses. As knowledge has evolved, the advice has then changed and built on what was known. We don't discard knowledge, we use it as a platform to build on and challenge. Would you rather they had stuck to the initial plan without changing with the evidence? Yep. Some try to make issues about the changing messages but like you say as things have went on that is surely the correct way as we learn more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enzo Chiefo Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 8 minutes ago, Geoff Kilpatrick said: Covid-19 is a new virus so the initial advice was based on known viruses. As knowledge has evolved, the advice has then changed and built on what was known. We don't discard knowledge, we use it as a platform to build on and challenge. Would you rather they had stuck to the initial plan without changing with the evidence? No, not all. Just using those instances to prove that "experts" are not infallible. Of course they should adapt as they go. My main gripe is with those who seem to suggest that the general public are incapable of critical thought while the predictions of baffoons like Neil Ferguson, consistently wrong during this and other pandemics, should be treated as gospel. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spellczech Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 1 hour ago, Enzo Chiefo said: Why are "scientists" the only profession not judged by results? We've been told at various stages of the last 18mths that facemasks don't work, then they are mandatory and essential, we were informed daily - bored rigid - by the monotonous hand cleaning regime message, to prevent Covid being transmitted from surfaces, only to now be told it's not spread that way. Indeed only today, tests carried out on trains and buses found absolutely no trace of Covid particles. That's before we even start about ridiculous graphs forecasting 4k daily deaths, 100k , or even 200(Two hundred)k cases per day. David Begg was a Prof of Town Planning but a taxi driver or bus driver , with real world experience, was far more qualified to discuss the traffic issues, problems and required fixes in Edinburgh. With respect, you're coming over a bit Gordon Strachan-like implying deferment to the "experts ". "What do supporters know, they've never played the game" A population that doesn't assess, challenge, judge and criticise those in power, is a population that is suppressed. That is a situation that all governments dream of. I've always believed facemasks are like airport security rules about 100ml bottles - just PR to fool people into "feeling safe". How otherwise could you justify limiting cosmetics bottles to 100ml but allow a person to buy a 1L Molotov cocktail in Duty Free? Scientific progress has always been done by a scientist postulating something and trying to provide empirical evidence to support it, then other scientists read it sceptically and do their own experiments then either disagree or confirm the original thesis...Unfortunately with pandemics none of this really happens and it all just becomes a rush to publish on Twitter or the Daily Mail rather than the science journals... Why does anyone still listen to Ferguson? or Boris for that matter... My opinion is that the politics has taken over from the science now. It is the politicians who don't want people to holiday abroad this year so they are creating rules and tweaking them to hide that they are really rather nonsensical. All we really need now is Red countries where Covid rates are high AND the health system is unlikely to be able to help you if you need it. Amber, Amber + and Green - all pointless... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoff Kilpatrick Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 8 minutes ago, Enzo Chiefo said: No, not all. Just using those instances to prove that "experts" are not infallible. Of course they should adapt as they go. My main gripe is with those who seem to suggest that the general public are incapable of critical thought while the predictions of baffoons like Neil Ferguson, consistently wrong during this and other pandemics, should be treated as gospel. I work with models all the time in my job (sadly, not the living type). All models are wrong as models are a function of their inputs but people ignore things like sensitivity testing and confidence intervals. The performance of a model can only truly be judged by the errors after the fact. However, they are needed as the best guess of future outcomes based on the knowledge of the present situation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoff Kilpatrick Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 8 minutes ago, Spellczech said: I've always believed facemasks are like airport security rules about 100ml bottles - just PR to fool people into "feeling safe". How otherwise could you justify limiting cosmetics bottles to 100ml but allow a person to buy a 1L Molotov cocktail in Duty Free? Scientific progress has always been done by a scientist postulating something and trying to provide empirical evidence to support it, then other scientists read it sceptically and do their own experiments then either disagree or confirm the original thesis...Unfortunately with pandemics none of this really happens and it all just becomes a rush to publish on Twitter or the Daily Mail rather than the science journals... Why does anyone still listen to Ferguson? or Boris for that matter... My opinion is that the politics has taken over from the science now. It is the politicians who don't want people to holiday abroad this year so they are creating rules and tweaking them to hide that they are really rather nonsensical. All we really need now is Red countries where Covid rates are high AND the health system is unlikely to be able to help you if you need it. Amber, Amber + and Green - all pointless... I also believe that the evidence for masks is more psychological than actually anything to do with transmission. They are a pain in the arse and an impost so behaviourally, it encourages less movement and interaction, which is the main measure of transmission. Similarly, the restrictions on them are normally applied at the same time as other restrictions. Therefore, there is a lot of correlation with reductions in spread as opposed to causation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spellczech Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, Geoff Kilpatrick said: I also believe that the evidence for masks is more psychological than actually anything to do with transmission. They are a pain in the arse and an impost so behaviourally, it encourages less movement and interaction, which is the main measure of transmission. Similarly, the restrictions on them are normally applied at the same time as other restrictions. Therefore, there is a lot of correlation with reductions in spread as opposed to causation. Indeed one of the most unpleasant things I can ever recall happening to me was someone sneezing on the back of my neck on a bus. It happened pre-Covid and I'll be honest I was very close to turning round and lamping the guy... I get hayfever, and I've found the mask has no effect on that so I spent most of June/July sneezing into masks on occasion - it is very unpleasant BTW! and I am sure if I was the guy on the bus who doesn't cover his mouth when he sneezes, I'd expect to get lamped with or without a mask... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jack D and coke Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, Spellczech said: Indeed one of the most unpleasant things I can ever recall happening to me was someone sneezing on the back of my neck on a bus. It happened pre-Covid and I'll be honest I was very close to turning round and lamping the guy... I get hayfever, and I've found the mask has no effect on that so I spent most of June/July sneezing into masks on occasion - it is very unpleasant BTW! and I am sure if I was the guy on the bus who doesn't cover his mouth when he sneezes, I'd expect to get lamped with or without a mask... Anyone who sneezes or coughs without putting their hand to mouth and turning away deserves death imo. It’s absolutely enrages me to murderous levels. This is a pre pandemic. Utter scum. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unknown user Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 13 minutes ago, Lord BJ said: Experts aren’t ****ing fortune tellers, however, they do, generally, understabd the direction of travel better than someone who has used google to search a article to support their view 🤷🏻♂️ Seems obvious right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JudyJudyJudy Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 8 hours ago, theshed said: Booked seats on Saturday for 2pm. Sat waiting till Table was ready at 2.15. Then had to download app from thr table I was sat at and couldn’t get signal so had to join their WiFi ( should have done this on arrival I know) Anyway after a carry on trying to order a mixer for the vodka the drinks arrived just after 230pm. 30 mins to get one drink leaving me with 1 hour 30 mins of my booked two hour slot I asked if the person could just take my order but she said no and to use the app. Was on the verge of just walking out but knew I wouldn’t get in anywhere else so just stayed No going back to a pub till I can walk up and order at the bar I would have just left the place . 5 hours ago, Governor Tarkin said: Got balls like Chewbacca. 👍 What a horrendous image ! Yuck 5 hours ago, Nucky Thompson said: 21,952 new positive cases in the UK, the lowest since 29th June. A million cases a week was it not Neil 👍👍 4 hours ago, Enzo Chiefo said: "The science" encompasses everything from the fantastic work done by Sarah Gilbert and her team at Oxford to the statisticians like Neil Ferguson who can produce any old garbage and still retain the respect of certain sections of the population. Economics is also a "science" but those particular experts have been given nearly enough airtime. Seeing short term "exponential" growth and continuing the trajectory indefinitely is the stuff of primary school statistics. It was clear before, it certainly is now with real world evidence, that not everybody is susceptible to catching Covid, with or without mitigations. That has been the biggest flaw in the modelling we have been subjected to, although, as confirmed by SAGE minutes from last year, the idea was to scare people as we "were not frightened enough". In that respect, it could be deemed a success. The one thing they did do successfully was to scare the living daylights out of people . That was a roaring success 1 hour ago, Enzo Chiefo said: Why are "scientists" the only profession not judged by results? We've been told at various stages of the last 18mths that facemasks don't work, then they are mandatory and essential, we were informed daily - bored rigid - by the monotonous hand cleaning regime message, to prevent Covid being transmitted from surfaces, only to now be told it's not spread that way. Indeed only today, tests carried out on trains and buses found absolutely no trace of Covid particles. That's before we even start about ridiculous graphs forecasting 4k daily deaths, 100k , or even 200(Two hundred)k cases per day. David Begg was a Prof of Town Planning but a taxi driver or bus driver , with real world experience, was far more qualified to discuss the traffic issues, problems and required fixes in Edinburgh. With respect, you're coming over a bit Gordon Strachan-like implying deferment to the "experts ". "What do supporters know, they've never played the game" A population that doesn't assess, challenge, judge and criticise those in power, is a population that is suppressed. That is a situation that all governments dream of. I know I could have saved a fortune not buying bleach !!! 😂😂 however it was all part of the scare tactics 31 minutes ago, Spellczech said: I've always believed facemasks are like airport security rules about 100ml bottles - just PR to fool people into "feeling safe". How otherwise could you justify limiting cosmetics bottles to 100ml but allow a person to buy a 1L Molotov cocktail in Duty Free? Scientific progress has always been done by a scientist postulating something and trying to provide empirical evidence to support it, then other scientists read it sceptically and do their own experiments then either disagree or confirm the original thesis...Unfortunately with pandemics none of this really happens and it all just becomes a rush to publish on Twitter or the Daily Mail rather than the science journals... Why does anyone still listen to Ferguson? or Boris for that matter... My opinion is that the politics has taken over from the science now. It is the politicians who don't want people to holiday abroad this year so they are creating rules and tweaking them to hide that they are really rather nonsensical. All we really need now is Red countries where Covid rates are high AND the health system is unlikely to be able to help you if you need it. Amber, Amber + and Green - all pointless... 👍👍 20 minutes ago, Geoff Kilpatrick said: I also believe that the evidence for masks is more psychological than actually anything to do with transmission. They are a pain in the arse and an impost so behaviourally, it encourages less movement and interaction, which is the main measure of transmission. Similarly, the restrictions on them are normally applied at the same time as other restrictions. Therefore, there is a lot of correlation with reductions in spread as opposed to causation. I forgot my mask today and felt like a leper on the bus ! 12 minutes ago, Spellczech said: Indeed one of the most unpleasant things I can ever recall happening to me was someone sneezing on the back of my neck on a bus. It happened pre-Covid and I'll be honest I was very close to turning round and lamping the guy... I get hayfever, and I've found the mask has no effect on that so I spent most of June/July sneezing into masks on occasion - it is very unpleasant BTW! and I am sure if I was the guy on the bus who doesn't cover his mouth when he sneezes, I'd expect to get lamped with or without a mask... Actually one thing about the pandemic . It has made me reassess the clartiness of buses , in particular in the winter . Never mind the coughing and sneezing but then people all touching the same handrails with all the crap on it . Yuck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enzo Chiefo Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 18 minutes ago, Lord BJ said: Experts aren’t ****ing fortune tellers, however, they do, generally, understabd the direction of travel better than someone who has used google to search a article to support their view 🤷🏻♂️ Each to their own, and I'm not sure if you were referring to me, but I don't understand why people would search Google, nor the cess pit of Twitter, to support their view. Everyone should be assessing the evidence that is available in real time and a blend of critical thinking, logic and common sense is all you need to formulate a viewpoint. Disagree about "experts" knowing the "direction of travel". In this case, cases are heading due South while they were forecasting the polar opposite. The judgment of Boris Johnson, in this case, appears to have been more accurate tbf. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JudyJudyJudy Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 5 hours ago, Governor Tarkin said: Most blokes with long hair are utter helmets tbf. Disagree . French accent ! Kilt . Long hair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unknown user Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 It's like trying to teach a dog a card trick Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enzo Chiefo Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 1 hour ago, Spellczech said: I've always believed facemasks are like airport security rules about 100ml bottles - just PR to fool people into "feeling safe". How otherwise could you justify limiting cosmetics bottles to 100ml but allow a person to buy a 1L Molotov cocktail in Duty Free? Scientific progress has always been done by a scientist postulating something and trying to provide empirical evidence to support it, then other scientists read it sceptically and do their own experiments then either disagree or confirm the original thesis...Unfortunately with pandemics none of this really happens and it all just becomes a rush to publish on Twitter or the Daily Mail rather than the science journals... Why does anyone still listen to Ferguson? or Boris for that matter... My opinion is that the politics has taken over from the science now. It is the politicians who don't want people to holiday abroad this year so they are creating rules and tweaking them to hide that they are really rather nonsensical. All we really need now is Red countries where Covid rates are high AND the health system is unlikely to be able to help you if you need it. Amber, Amber + and Green - all pointless... Yes, I agree, Spellczech. A lot of the decisions now are designed for population "nudge" purposes including the ridiculous rules and obstacles surrounding international travel. Quite clearly, the Govt want everyone to "staycate" this year in order to support UK businesses and boost the economy. However, it's an expensive business to holiday in the UK right now and, having travelled the length of the country, from Dorset , in early June, negotiating the road networks requires a great deal of time and patience. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JudyJudyJudy Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 56 minutes ago, jack D and coke said: Anyone who sneezes or coughs without putting their hand to mouth and turning away deserves death imo. It’s absolutely enrages me to murderous levels. This is a pre pandemic. Utter scum. It’s amazing the amount of people who still do this ! Filthy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevie1874 Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 9 hours ago, theshed said: Booked seats on Saturday for 2pm. Sat waiting till Table was ready at 2.15. Then had to download app from thr table I was sat at and couldn’t get signal so had to join their WiFi ( should have done this on arrival I know) Anyway after a carry on trying to order a mixer for the vodka the drinks arrived just after 230pm. 30 mins to get one drink leaving me with 1 hour 30 mins of my booked two hour slot I asked if the person could just take my order but she said no and to use the app. Was on the verge of just walking out but knew I wouldn’t get in anywhere else so just stayed No going back to a pub till I can walk up and order at the bar Where was this if I may ask because I’ve been in a couple of pubs and refused to download the app and they’ve been fine taking an order at the table. But I’m with you on going to the bar 👍 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unknown user Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 4 hours ago, Lord BJ said: It was a general comment and wasn’t aimed at anyone in particular. However, I am uncomfortable with the anti expert stance; that some come out with. It is not a form of logic that stands up to much scrutiny. When I’m ill I go to the doctor, when one of my cars is playing up I take it to the garage, when the mutt is ill I take her to the vet. I take advice from people who know more than me for all manner of my life. They’re, not perfect but I understand they know more than me. The govt will have all manners of advisors and what not; all of them will not agree. That is the skill in govt/management is picking the right opinions. Neil Ferguson, getting a model ‘wrong’, when most people can’t even understand modelling isn’t really justification to **** experts out the window. Believing experts advice is worthless because they got something wrong previously, is daft. Experts don’t predict the future they provide advice. (Models don’t predict the future outside set parameters, thats aren't real) What’s done with that advice is the key. I personally think our govts both UK and Scot have been terribly on that front. Ignoring expert advice on the basis they got something wrong in the past, especially when you ignore all they have got right, isn’t a smart move imo. It's not a smart move, but we're dealing with people who start posts with things like "Why are "scientists" the only profession not judged by results?" It's utterly laughable, an extension of the same anti intellectualism we all pointed and laughed at in Trumpian US. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enzo Chiefo Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 1 hour ago, Smithee said: It's not a smart move, but we're dealing with people who start posts with things like "Why are "scientists" the only profession not judged by results?" It's utterly laughable, an extension of the same anti intellectualism we all pointed and laughed at in Trumpian US. Your type always rese Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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