lauriesrank Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Unfortunately I think the Tories will scrape this too, SNP will get about 40 seats, if the Tories have to win it then I need them to win between 326-350 (got a few quid on it at 7/2). However, get your money on May getting kicked as her position is untenable if the exits are anything to go by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Psychedelicropcircle Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 If Labour gain in Scotland it's down to corbyn alone. Scottish labour played no part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jambof3tornado Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 SNP bird on bbc1 doing my napper in. Cant answer any questions at all. All about the other parties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dusk_Till_Dawn Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 This thread is going to get well out of hand. Love you all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ulysses Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 I know we're talking about two constituencies here, but it is interesting that in the constituencies that have declared so far, Labour led the Tories by 36.4% in 2015, and by 35% in 2017. That's a slight swing AWAY from Labour. Sunderland Central will also be interesting. Last time, Labour won that one by 27 percentage points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Space Mackerel Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Home Secretary sacked? https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2017/06/amber-rudds-coat-shoogly-pegg/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Don Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 SNP bird on bbc1 doing my napper in. Cant answer any questions at all. All about the other parties. She's being ripped to pieces lol she's not the brightest maybe shouldn't mock her Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Space Mackerel Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 If Labour gain in Scotland it's down to corbyn alone. Scottish labour played no part. Yep, agree with this. Think there's been a massive swing to Labour in Scotland due to Corbyn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jambof3tornado Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 This thread is going to get well out of hand. Love you all. Certain posters have a history of dragging any thread down. Lets hope people behave no matter how big the tory majority is or how many seats in scotland thd snp lose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tazio Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 * Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jambof3tornado Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 She's being ripped to pieces lol she's not the brightest maybe shouldn't mock her Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Maybe not the brightest but is doing a poor job representing her party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JudyJudyJudy Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Yep, agree with this. Think there's been a massive swing to Labour in Scotland due to Corbyn. Exactly right ...Scottish Labour bunch of back stabbers in particular Kezia and Ian Murray. Ungrateful *******s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tazio Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Priti Patel is very well named. I think this will pan out as the most bizarre set of results in many a year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jambof3tornado Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 *shortest sweary word ever!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Don Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Maybe not the brightest but is doing a poor job representing her party. Agreed. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Space Mackerel Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Exactly right ...Scottish Labour bunch of back stabbers in particular Kezia and Ian Murray. Ungrateful *******s Murray getting on a ticket of opposing JC, you've seen it all now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ulysses Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 I know we're talking about two constituencies here, but it is interesting that in the constituencies that have declared so far, Labour led the Tories by 36.4% in 2015, and by 35% in 2017. That's a slight swing AWAY from Labour. Sunderland Central will also be interesting. Last time, Labour won that one by 27 percentage points. Another one suggesting a slight swing AWAY from Labour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlimOzturk Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 I don't believe you. Think my point was clear enough. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Harsh. I think Space Mackerel has people on this board who know him so i doubt he would lie that. Awful, getting so personal ffs. Cmon lads, it is ****ing politics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tazio Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Another one suggesting a slight swing AWAY from Labour. I think Corbyn is a labour leader who won't appeal to the traditional labour areas but very much to the labour voters in less traditional areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dusk_Till_Dawn Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Michal Hussein looking foxy tonight. As does Dimbleby. In the interests of fairness & equality. I'd ride him if it meant I got to ride her Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trapper John McIntyre Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Salmond under threat in Gordon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Don Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Harsh. I think Space Mackerel has people on this board who know him so i doubt he would lie that. Awful, getting so personal ffs. Cmon lads, it is ******* politics. I just found it difficult to believe someone would make such a crass comment to someone about a disease a family member died from. Maybe that's how his mind works I've no idea. But he's a history of telling porkies and over exaggerating. Anyway it's done. Don't want to sidetrack the thread Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlphonseCapone Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 :2thumbs: Tbf looking at many posts on this thread my language regarding MP's I dislike is quite moderate in comparison. Are you always so easily offended ? Or you just pissed off Don Corleone is a better boss than Capone? Lol Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Most of them come from folk who are always at it, you are usually reasonable. Your Corleone being better than Capone comment is the worst by a distance on this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jambof3tornado Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Ukip losing votes big style. Still reckon the tories will hit 330 and the snp will drop to 35-38 seats. Early days though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SwindonJambo Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Unfortunately I think the Tories will scrape this too, SNP will get about 40 seats, if the Tories have to win it then I need them to win between 326-350 (got a few quid on it at 7/2). However, get your money on May getting kicked as her position is untenable if the exits are anything to go by. All the bookies offering odds on for a Tory Majority of some sort. 3rd seat declared an in all 3 cases Tories doing far better than the exit poll suggested. https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/overall-majority I've a sneaking feeling They'll scrape home, assisted by a handful of wins in Scotland to drag them over the line. Nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Space Mackerel Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 I just found it difficult to believe someone would make such a crass comment to someone about a disease a family member died from. Maybe that's how his mind works I've no idea. But he's a history of telling porkies and over exaggerating. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk A joke about expats suffering from skin cancer and you get all precious? :-/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Don Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Most of them come from folk who are always at it, you are usually reasonable. Your Corleone being better than Capone comment is the worst by a distance on this thread :2thumbs: lol Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlimOzturk Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 A joke about expats suffering from skin cancer and you get all precious? :-/ Wait.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radio Ga Ga Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Another one suggesting a slight swing AWAY from Labour. Ulysses, I was really interested to read your poll analysis earlier on in this thread, have you been looking at things tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
56anawthat Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Michal Hussein looking foxy tonight. As does Dimbleby. In the interests of fairness & equality. No votes for Jackie Bird and Brian Taylor then? Surely a more attractive couple... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Space Mackerel Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Wait.... Tory snowflake voter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ulysses Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Ulysses, I was really interested to read your poll analysis earlier on in this thread, have you been looking at things tonight? Yep, and my prediction was more favourable to the Tories than the exit poll prediction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radio Ga Ga Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Yep, and my prediction was more favourable to the Tories than the exit poll prediction. Thanks, I thought you had the Nationalists at around the 45 seats 'ish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoff Kilpatrick Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Space Mackerel has himself rolling on the floor. Anyway, looks like John Curtice is shitting himself a bit here as his Maths is a bit Diane Abbott! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Francis Albert Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 I know we're talking about two constituencies here, but it is interesting that in the constituencies that have declared so far, Labour led the Tories by 36.4% in 2015, and by 35% in 2017. That's a slight swing AWAY from Labour. Sunderland Central will also be interesting. Last time, Labour won that one by 27 percentage points. Might be something to do with the collapse of the UKIP vote in these constituencies with most returning to the Conservatives? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King Of The Cat Cafe Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Unfortunately I think the Tories will scrape this too, SNP will get about 40 seats, if the Tories have to win it then I need them to win between 326-350 (got a few quid on it at 7/2). However, get your money on May getting kicked as her position is untenable if the exits are anything to go by. I have a nagging feeling that those exit polls cannot be relied on. Reckon you can use your winnings to offset the cost of your ST Or maybe if you would rather have a Tory meltdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sooperstar Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Tory Majority odds back out to 4/6. Some legs in this yet. Apparently the YouGov poll has been most accurate so far and predicts an even worse night for the Tories than the BBC one. And a better night for SNP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Victorian Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Couple of encouraging Labour vote gains from UKIP now. This could be incredibly interesting. Could be a record number of marginal seats all over the country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Space Mackerel Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Space Mackerel has himself rolling on the floor. Anyway, looks like John Curtice is shitting himself a bit here as his Maths is a bit Diane Abbott! Waiting on a thread on marks of 10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Don Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Might be something to do with the collapse of the UKIP vote in these constituencies with most returning to the Conservatives? Newcastle East has just declared looks like in this one Labour have gained from the UKIP share. Think that's how it's going to be all night, and different areas one or the other is going to get the UKIP vote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siphiwe Tshabalala Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Will the price of holidays come down tomorrow or not? **** the Tories and everything they stand for, by the way. Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iantjambo Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Couple of encouraging Labour vote gains from UKIP now. This could be incredibly interesting. Could be a record number of marginal seats all over the country. Massive gain for them in Swindon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dusk_Till_Dawn Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Will Diane abbott be well enough to attend her count? Dusk Till Dawn's exit poll predicts - yes, yes she will! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ulysses Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Might be something to do with the collapse of the UKIP vote in these constituencies with most returning to the Conservatives? UKIP will collapse around the country, and the Conservatives will get most of those votes, but that effect seems to be more pronounced in the North-East of England than in other regions. At an earlier stage in the election campaign, a YouGov series of regional opinion polls showed the Conservatives as gaining more in the North-East than in any other part of England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ulysses Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Thanks, I thought you had the Nationalists at around the 45 seats 'ish? I said 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iantjambo Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 How many seats did UKIP win in 2015? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Victorian Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Massive gain for them in Swindon Mmmmmmmm. Vote share +/- compared to Tories seems to be the detail to look at. I think on average Labour need to be getting about +8% to start making significant gains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sooperstar Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 No majority is back to favourite again. Come on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EwanHearts Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Another one suggesting a slight swing AWAY from Labour. A man who looks at the data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SwindonJambo Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Massive gain for them in Swindon Swindon North & South were both solidly Labour in Blair's 3 wins. The Tories will easily win South as it's wealthier. The town voted 55% for Brexit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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